Gto Poker Strategy

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  • GTO can also serve as a defense strategy against very skilled poker players. It can teach you how to balance your game so that opponents will not be able to exploit you. Another way to use profitably GTO strategy is when you are playing against an unknown player. We sometimes rush into assumptions about others that often prove to be false.

You can’t listen to or eavesdrop on a poker conversation these days without the mention of “GTO.”

GTO Ranges is a collection (125) of unexploitable calling and raising ranges for No Limit Holdem. These have been calculated with custom software. In order to play an unexploitable strategy many hands will use a mixed strategy of raising and calling.

That doesn’t mean GTO is something new. It’s not.

When it comes to poker, though, it’s often misused and misunderstood.

That’s why a tweet that included a poll about GTO from poker pro Oliver Busquet caught our attention.

If a perfect GTO bot played only live tournaments 25k entry or higher it would be

Gto Poker Theory

— Olivier Busquet (@olivierbusquet) February 21, 2018

What followed was a fascinating conversation.

But before we get to that …

What is GTO?

Let’s start by defining what GTO is and what it is not.

Game theory optimal solutions are specific mathematical definitions to a strategy. In other words, it’s the best, unbeatable solution to a game.

What you need to know is GTO doesn’t really exist in poker. Poker isn’t solved, and because there is no solution, GTO by its strictest definition can’t be applied to the game.

Defining GTO as it applies to poker just means taking the most unexploitable line. While simply described, there isn’t anything simple about it.

Dispelling common myths about GTO

There are some common myths about GTO and how it applies to poker that could wind up getting a player in trouble.

Two of the most common myths are:

  • GTO strategy is a profitable strategy
  • All the high-rollers use GTO

Let’s talk about those a little further.

GTO play does not guarantee a profit. GTO means you are using a strategy that is unbeatable. The problem is that a GTO approach doesn’t ensure you’ll win against certain opponents.

Technically there is no GTO in poker. When players reference GTO, they are most likely speaking of the best possible strategy.

GTO, as it applies to poker, is a strategy that is influenced by GTO.

GTO discussion

Busquet followed up with a request for opinions in addition to voting in the poll. He specifically asked for responses from players that are “very good.”

And the very good (and some not so good) players obliged.

How To Learn Gto Poker Strategy

Dylan Linde

Probably would have a higher win rate relative to the field in 25ks than say 3500s since the 25k fields are attempting to approximate GTO more and are less open to exploits. Whereas the weaker the field the more there is to make from proper deviation of GTO play to exploitative

Gto Poker Strategy

— Dylan Linde (@DylanLinde) February 21, 2018

When Busquet asked what he voted for, Linde responded

“Among the elite”. As I think to be the best even in the more GTO minded fields you still play with fun players and exploitable weaker regs that deviation will be more profitable vs.

— Dylan Linde (@DylanLinde) February 21, 2018

Busquet was “quite shocked” by the answer and followed up with a response.

Far and away the best. I think the current “best” players make enormous mistakes and people give them way too much credit for trying to “exploit” or their exploits making up for their mistakes

— Olivier Busquet (@olivierbusquet) February 21, 2018

Which got Linde thinking.

Hmm with some further thought I am now also thinking about the limitations of solvers now. The machine could play GTO in multi way pots whereas the capability to solve those isn’t yet available to us. The machine would’ve answered this question properly on the 1st attempt

— Dylan Linde (@DylanLinde) February 21, 2018

Also the bot never loses confidence, gets tired, emotional or distracted.

Gto Poker Software

— Olivier Busquet (@olivierbusquet) February 21, 2018

Dominik Nitsche

Obviously the best. Whether marginal or far and away is tough to say. I’d think some humans are quite good at poker at this point so the bot shouldn’t be winning too much

— Dominik Nitsche (@DominikNitsche) February 21, 2018

I find it particularly interesting that someone like you (obv elite) takes a nuanced view whereas many of the poll responses are polarized

— Olivier Busquet (@olivierbusquet) February 21, 2018

This is really common amongst the smartest/most successful people IMO. Inverse correlation between certainty and intelligence, esp on difficult/unknowable Qs like this

— Kintell Williamson (@JMC_PGH) February 22, 2018

Allen Cunningham

When players refer to GTO, I take it as using tactics influenced by game theory and NE strategies, such as (attempted) balancing. I haven’t seen any paper or study demonstrating there is a “perfect” ring poker strategy. I’d welcome a link if there is one.

— Allen Cunningham (@AllenCunningham) February 22, 2018

Ryan LaPlante

Among the elite, but not the biggest winner.

To be biggest winner youd have to properly adjust for explootative tendencies the recreational players have and how everyone adjusts to play vs them.

Could be instead marginally the best.

— Ryan Laplante????️‍???? (@Protentialmn) February 21, 2018

Gto Poker Strategy

Ryan Yu

To maximize theoretical win rate you'd be right. But no human can achieve maximum exploitive value either, and that just playing perfectly GTO would still be a greater overall net value than a human who might do certain things better than the bot.

— Ryan Yu (@ineedsheet) February 22, 2018

Olivier Busquet

A. I think players overestimate the value of their adjustments (credit) and underestimate the size of their mistakes (blame)

— Olivier Busquet (@olivierbusquet) February 21, 2018

Daniel Negreanu weighs in.

Both true. Only factor not being discussed thus far that I’ve seen is the value of exploiting via live tells.

— Daniel Negreanu (@RealKidPoker) February 21, 2018

I’m including live tells under the umbrella of exploits. I made my example live on purpose to include them.

— Olivier Busquet (@olivierbusquet) February 21, 2018

Are you struggling to understand GTO?

Does this clear things up? If not, Fedor Holz recently tweeted out a link to The Evolution of Trust.

Gto Poker Strategy

What Is Gto Poker Strategy

The Evolution of Trust is an interactive guide to game theory and why and how we trust each other. It’s worth a look.

Trust us.

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So how would you beat an opponent playing GTO Rock, Paper, Scissors? Well, you’d have to deviate from time to time. If you know your opponent is going to throw Rock 33% of the time and you see them throw Rock five times in a row, you can be fairly certain that Rock won’t show up very often in the next few throws. You now have a 50% chance they will throw Paper and a 50% chance they will throw Scissors. Your optimal strategy here would be to throw Scissors.

  • Your Scissors vs Opponent’s Scissors = a tie.
  • Your Scissors vs Opponent’s Paper = a win for you.
Gto

You could play your Scissors strategy until your opponent throws a Rock, then revert back to GTO strategy. Once you see a pattern again you can deviate from GTO to create a winning strategy.

You’re probably thinking, “Great, I’m a Rock, Paper, Scissors pro…what does this have to do with poker?”. Well GTO, in its very basic form, is just the art of perfect balance. Let’s explain in poker terms.

  • Rock = Raise for value 33%
  • Paper = Check 33%
  • Scissors = Raise as bluff 33%

Let’s say on the river the above were your three options. Just as in Rock, Paper, Scissors, you’ll need to find the right balance. Of course, with poker it’s much more complicated, based on many different factors including your opponent.

Whilst the perfect balance may be to bluff the river 33% of the time, it wouldn’t make sense to bluff an opponent you know will call you 100% of the time. In this case you can only raise your value hands and check your weaker hands.

However, if this opponent notices that you only ever bet on the river with value hands, so starts folding, they are exploiting your play. You could then start to bluff the river, exploiting their play, until they figure out you are bluffing. After they figure out you only bluff the river, you could revert back to GTO of 33% bluff, 33% value, 33% check making us much tougher to play against. Again, we can deviate from GTO where doing so makes sense.

Gto Poker Strategy

GTO is really not too important at lower stakes games, but is important for high stakes, nosebleed games and high rollers. For most of us, whilst it’s good knowledge to have, it’s probably not as important as balancing our value bets, bluffs and calls to exploit our opponents.